The Field Marshall Sam Manekshaw Memorial Trophy
Class 3 / Horses Rated 40 to 66 (1600M).
This is a more interesting race, from study point of view,
than the Eves Champions Trophy of the 8 races scheduled for today, 13.08.2017.
I am going to express my thought process below as I read the race card of this
race. I may not be correct at the conclusion but I imagine that it should
provide the readers some insight.
IN MY DREAM: Rated at 61,this filly
could not win her First career start, for that matter was bridesmaid in first 3
career starts, and finished 3rd in her 4th start before
shedding maiden status against class 3 opposition in her 5th start.
She had been beaten in her career by more illustrious peers, such as
Germanicus, Bold March, Accolade & Temerity. You will agree In My Dream
could not have beaten them as a maiden. After her maiden win win she was
pitched in Fillies Trials where she finished 5th to Mrs Patmore. It
seems she has suffered a minor set back and as was not seen racing thereafter.
I am assuming she has been nursed back to sufficient fitness as evidenced by
her close 3rd in a mock race. She is certainly a contender even though
she is same class winner (SCW).
NELSON BLOOD: is a last start winner
of this class. This gelding justified my faith by winning his first start in
Pune in class 3. He was not a first start winner and cleared his maiden status
in his 4th start in Lower class (Class 4).Mile is his forte and as
such won pillar to post very nicely indeed. Normally an SCW is a discard in my
method of handicapping. But if you see NB had won at a rating of 46 and is penalized
just 10 points for that victory which makes him ineligible to compete in class
2 at 56 rating. He is a contender even though he is running within 2 weeks of
his previous start.
VOLANTIS: This filly has cleared
her maiden status in only her 7th start and in the assessment of the
trainer is a runner with potential to win long distance races. She is a same
class winner and has had a good preparation with a mock race & regular
morning work outs. She is competing here because she is rated in this class
like Nelsons Blood. My take is she would use this race as a preparatory gallop
for some other longer distance race in future. Though cannot rule out entirely.
GLORIOUS EYES: This filly is a
disappointment for me since I expected her to do well after she won her career
first start and competed in a grade 3 race in her first season. She struggled
to get her next victory in class 4, and was on board in her last 3 start in this
class. I consider that she needs a much inferior company to register he next
win. Not here.
TIMELESS: is the lone 3YO
contender in this class 3 set. Registered his victory in his first start as a
rank outsider (11/1odds), and ran on second & 3rd in his two
subsequent starts to the well performed 3YOs, Tutankhamun & Ruffina. As a
result was installed an favourite in his last start in which he performed well
below par in that he came 7th out of 7 horses. He is being prepared
meticulously in morning work and looks like a contender here. But it has been
experience that whenever there is single 3YO in class 3 it loses more often
than not.
JAGER BOMB: I don’t think I need to
discuss much about this long in tooth gelding who is here either to make up the
card or to aid somehow his stable mate. Discarded.
In the final analysis I am nominating IN MY DREAM as my pick since
I feel she is far more classy than the other runners in this field.
Best of luck.
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