MUMBAI SELECTIONS 14/03/2019.
Race 1: The horses that command consideration in this
B class race are Fanfare(1), Aquarius, Tianjin Honey(5) & Rospomare(6).
Fanfare having won this class in her last but one start may find the going
tough on handicap. Aquarius could find distance difficult. That leaves us with
two horses Tianjin Honey(5) & Rospomare. The former though younger in age getting
to travel this distance first time in his career. The later, however, has shown
promise in his last start by finishing 3rd over longer, in higher
class, within 3 lengths, to the winner Momentum who went on to score an encore. This
encourages me to fancy his chances more than Tianjin Honey especially with
positive switch in saddle.
Race 2: Ignoring
older horses 3,7 & 8 the focus is resting on on Arrowfield(1), Excellent
Sorrento (2), Octavious(4), Dance The Dream(5) & Medici(6). Octavious loses
out for having finished over 13 lengths to the winner in his last start.
Excellent Sorrento & Dance The Dream are both first career start winners. The former has Million race run benefit &
the latter Graded race run benefit. If you ask me put my hand up between these two
I will go with former since the latter is getting to mile race first time in
his career though his half brother Jack Frost has travelled up to 3000m.
Arrowfield(1) has got everything going for him, who won this class on his first
appearance this season,went to Hyderabad to participate in Golconda Derby Grade
1 and is returning to home center. But I am worried on 3 counts. The
handicapper has not penalized him even though he finished higher than horses
rated far higher in the Derby. He is coming down in distance from 2400m to
1600m and the anti-post odds indicates
he is overwhelming favourite to the exclusion of others. So I am going with Excellent
Sorrento who gets value now. Medici(6)i is the joker in the pack.
Race 3: Highland
Wind(2), Huzzah’s Grace(3), Smoky Haze(8) & Lovely Fairy(9) are
the contenders. Huzzah’s got exposed while finishing 4th to Aberlour
at 20/1 and also BV case, hence pass. It is difficult to choose between the
other three but I am going with Lovely Fairy who came up with a rattle from the
back of the field in race 85 to finish on the haunches of Smoky Haze in 3rd.
Race 4: Without going into the nitty-gritty
of the contenders I am confidently going along with King Khalil who is well in
at weights and also he is always a front runner.
Race 5: Cormoront(2), Night Hunt(3), Hi Ho
Silver(8), Saffron Flower(9) & Allegria(10) will be in the betting focus in
this race. I am giving it a pass for the last two named for having won the
class already this season. Hi Ho Silver is not able to establish the right
distance for her and Night Hunt is having a negative switch in the saddle
extinguishing some hope on him. Cormorant has good numbers to bag the race
after having had two educative runs in this center and the last one in a class
4 million race finishing fifth with just 2.5 lengths in arrears to the winner.
Trevor riding won’t hurt. Keep an eye on
Princess Eliza(4) who can upset the applecart.
Race 6: With higher class run benefit in her
last start where she finished 3.75 lengths behind winner, Shivalik Queen is my
choice in this race following a pattern for class 4 race. Tenerife(2) emerges as
the threat among other runners.
Good Luck.
Excellent analysis DRS ji, thanks for your valuable suggestions
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